Prediction and analysis of the development of Chin

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It is estimated that the scale of smart home industrial malls in China will reach 106.7 billion yuan in 2018, with an average annual compound growth rate of about 38.86% in the next five years (2018-2022), and will reach 396.71 billion yuan in 2022

analysis of influencing factors

I. favorable factors

(I) the advancement of industrial Internet skills promotes the rapid development of smart home

in November 2017, the State Council issued the guiding opinions on deepening the "Internet + advanced manufacturing" to launch industrial Internet. In the opinion, it is clear that we should take the pilot application as the guide, organize innovative application demonstrations, and gradually explore the implementation path and application form of industrial Internet. In terms of the application of intelligent networking products, the key points are oriented to the fields of smart home, wearable devices, etc., and integrate advanced skills such as 5g, in-depth learning, big data, etc. to meet the typical needs of high-precision positioning, intelligent human-computer interaction, safe and reliable operation and maintenance. The government will vigorously promote the development of industrial Internet skills and strengthen the application of industrial Internet in the smart home industry, which will effectively promote the rapid development of smart home

(II) Internet of things skill specifications are expected to be integrated consistently

now, there are many entrants to smart home shopping malls, and the interface, communication and other specifications set for self-developed products are different, so it is often difficult for different brands to connect smoothly. This behavior of establishing norms naturally aims to make itself monopolized in the industry, but in reality, it does not meet people's wishes, but constitutes a severe phenomenon of fragmentation, preventing the pace of the whole industry. Some large enterprises have come to their senses and announced the formation of the Internet of things alliance front to speed up the drafting process of the general specifications of the Internet of things through information sharing, and the Internet of things skill specifications are expected to be integrated and consistent

(III) the main consumer groups prefer smart home

in order to seek fashion, publicize characteristics, and enjoy the inherent consumption characteristics of life, the post-80s and post-90s have become the main force in the workplace. They have certain economic talents, and they are the consumer subjects that all occupations compete for. These young customers will never give in to the needs of building materials, home decoration and household products, and they increasingly like high-end, characteristic and intelligent home decoration brands. Driven by this mainstream consumption driving force, smart home began to become the main theme of the home occupation

II. Adverse factors

(I) the information security problem of smart home devices has not been dealt with

although smart home devices can bring fast and comfortable life experience, most products have security risks, which are simply cracked and manipulated by others over a long distance, resulting in the sharing and sale of users' information. In addition to acting as a spy to spy on privacy, the cracked smart door locks and smart safes have simply become "insiders" for thieves to steal family property. Smart home may also be manipulated to form a large-scale "botnet", attack network servers, and constitute a large-scale paralysis of Internet services

(II) lack of innovation

at that time, users of smart home products were less dependent on their use, and the problems users responded to would collectively be "unstable products", "easy to damage" and "some functions are worthless". The existing intelligent products basically stay at the primary level of long-distance control. A real intelligent product should have the ability of induction, self adaptation and self-learning. Measured by this specification, the current intelligent products obviously fail to meet this requirement. The intelligent products on the market now can only be regarded as intelligent germinating products and early-stage products

prediction of the scale of smart home industrial malls

in 2015, the scale of smart home industrial malls in China was 40.34 billion yuan, an increase of 41.0% year-on-year; In 2016, it was 64.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.3%. Summing up the above factors, we estimate that the scale of China's smart home industrial malls will reach 106.7 billion yuan in 2018, with an average annual compound growth rate of about 38.86% in the next five years (2018-2022) and 396.71 billion yuan in 2022




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